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2009年宏观经济形势判断及汽车市场预测

Macroeconomy Position Estimation and Automobile Market Forecast in 2009
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摘要 美国次贷危机造成的金融海啸已从金融业"祸害"到实体经济,目前,美国三大汽车公司面临着破产的境地。随着全球经济一体化进程的不断加快,中国经济和中国汽车业无疑不能独善其身。进入2008年特别是下半年以来,中国股市如同坐上"过山车"一般向下俯冲,楼市萎靡,汽车市场需求增长率大幅下降,各种宏观经济指标全面回落年初业界专家一致认为是板上钉钉的汽车产销突破千万辆大关也成为泡影。2009年中国宏观经济走势到底会怎样?其对汽车市场不同车型的影响又有何不同?目前这些疑问成了业界年终争论的热点。 Financial tsunami caused by American sub-prime mortgage loan crisis has shifted from f inancial industry 'disaster' to entity economy. Currently,the three largest American auto makers are in hot water of bankruptcy. With acceleration of global economic integration process,it is undoubted that Chinese economy and automobile industry can not avoid the adverse impact. After entering 2008,especially in the second half year,Chinese stock market witnessed a sharp dive downward,building market became stagnant,growth rate of automobile market demand suffered serious decline,and various macroeconomic indices dropped down... In the early 2009,industrial specialists unanimously believe that the expectation of breaking 10 million automobile sales amount which was considered a def inite in the past has fallen through. What is the Chinese macroeconomic trend in 2009? What will effects be produced on different automobile types? Currently,these questions have become hot issues of industrial discussion.
作者 司康
出处 《交通世界》 2009年第2期20-24,10,共5页 Transpoworld
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