后危机时代、分工失衡条件下的中国经济增长

Chinese Economic Growth in the Post-crisis Era, under the Conditions of Imbalance Division

全球分工(贸易分工和金融分工)失衡、全球化资本流动以及美元霸权是全球失衡的根源。2008年全球金融危机是对全球分工体系中的贸易分工和金融分工严重失衡的一次总调整。从失衡到再平衡的过程是一个成长的过程,未来全球经济将进入结构调整期。在新的历史节点上,中国必须将反周期政策和纠正失衡的结构性调整结合起来,培育中国内生增长的新动力,通过产业轮动与区域轮动启动新一轮经济景气周期。

Gobal economic unbalance is due to gobal division unbalance, gobal capital flow and dollar hegemony. Gobal financial crisis in 2008 is a general adjustment of trade division unbalance and financial division unbalance. From unbalance to balance, it is a growing process. In future, it is forecast that the gobal economy will come into hard structural adjustment time. At the crucial moment, Chinese government should combine its policies of anti-ecnomic cycles with structural adjustment, cultivate inner growing drive to start up a new round of economic boom by industrial and regional coordinative development.