基于元胞自动机模型的张家港市农业土地动态研究

Dynamic Study on Agricultural Land in Zhangjiagang City Based on Cellular Automata Model

应用元胞自动机(CellularAutomata,CA)模型对快速城市化进程中的江苏省张家港市未来10年的土地利用/覆盖变化模拟显示,城市化是张家港市土地利用/覆盖变化的主要特征之一,在快速城市化进程中农业用地面临着较大压力,必须采取合理而行之有效的措施加以保护。

The Cellular Automata （CA） Model was applied to simulate the land use/cover change of Zhangiiagang City in the rapid urbanization process in the next 10 years. The results demonstrated that urbanization would be one of the main characteristics of land use/eover change for Zhangjiagang City and agricultural land would face greater pressure in the rapid urbanization process. Reasonable and effective measures should be taken to protect the agricultural land.