技术性贸易壁垒对出口贸易的长期均衡效应

Long-term Equilibrium Effect on Technical Barriers to Trade to China's Export Trade

依据现有统计资料,利用OLS协整回归分析法和Granger因果检验技术对国外技术性贸易壁垒与我国出口贸易之间的深层次关系进行了分析。结果表明,国外技术性贸易壁垒在长期内促进了中国技术进步,提高了出口产品竞争力,进而增加了出口额,并且技术性贸易壁垒在经济发展水平相当的国家之间波及效应较大,从而使中国出口产品受到双重影响。

This text utilizes the method of OLS and cause ＆ effect of Granger to carry on profound analysis to these questions. The analysis result shows： foreign TBT （Technical barriers to trade） has promoted China＇s technological progress in the long- term, improve the competitiveness of the export product, and then increase export. And technical barriers to trade involves the effect bigger among country where the economic development level is suitable, thus make the Chinese export product influenced doubly.