中国农村居民消费与收入关系的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Consumption and Income of Chinese Rural Residents

本文运用协整理论及误差修正模型研究了中国农村居民消费与收入之间的长期均衡和短期波动关系,并进一步分析了不同来源的收入对农村居民消费的影响。实证结果表明,农村居民有较强的消费欲望,但是收入不足制约了其消费水平,工资性收入和家庭经营收入对农村居民消费的影响较显著,其中家庭经营收入的增加对消费增长的影响最大。在此基础上提出了提高农民收入,促进农民消费的对策建议。

This paper uses the methods of cointegration analysis and error correction model （ECM） to test the long-term e- quilibrium relationship and short-run fluctuating relationship between consumption and income of Chinese rural residents. In addition, it studies the influences of different income sources upon the consumption of Chinese rural residents. The empirical test shows that Chinese rural residents have a stronger consumption desire, but it is constrained due to their insufficient income. The wage income and household income have an obvious impact on the consumption of rural residents. Based on the above analysis, some suggestions arc put forward on how to improve the income of rural residents and how to accelerate their consumption.