如何把握油价变化趋势

How to Grasp The Changing Trend of Oil Price

目前有两种力量同时左右着油价走势,一种力量是往上推;一种力量是往下拉。未来油价到底走势如何,则取决于两种力量的强弱。

According to the economics fundamental principle, price of goods depend on supply and demand relation that is the supply and demand of goods interact each other to reach equalization,and decide a balance price. In theory, oil is a kind of commodity;its price should in accordance with the discipline. But because of its strategy signif icance, oil is a special kind of commodity, so that its price depends not only on supply and demand relation, but also on a lot of other factors. Only when we analyze these factors comprehensively and its development trend, we can grasp the changing trend of oil price.There are two kinds of powers controlling the changing trend of oil price. One of them lift the price,another pull it down.The trend depends on the competition of the powers. American mortgage foreclosures caused global financial crisis,world-wide economic crisis, the weak whole world economy,and then caused decreasing of oil demand, imbalanced relation of supply and demand. Because of that,oil price took a sudden turn for the worse. Based on an overall consideration of various factors,oil price can be predicted rising again step by step to about $80 per barrel which could easily accepted by oil-producing countries and oil-consuming countries.