工业化与信息化互动关系的实证研究

Study on Relationship between Industrialization and Informatization

本文基于向量自回归模型对工业化与信息化的关系进行了分析。结果表明,信息化是工业化的格兰杰原因,但工业化不是信息化的格兰杰原因。信息化水平与工业化水平存在着长期稳定的动态关系,信息化的发展能够带动工业化的发展。信息化波动是影响工业化波动的主要原因,但工业化的波动不是影响信息化波动的主要原因。工业化对信息化的影响速度要大于信息化对工业化的影响速度,并且工业化对信息化的影响更为稳定。

This paper analyzes relationship between industrialization and informatization based on vector auto regression. The results show informatization is the granger cause of industrialization, but industrialization doesn＇ t granger cause informatization . the development of Informatization can bring about industrialization which has stable relationship. The informatization undulation is the main reason to affects the industrialization undulation, but The industrialization undulation isn ＇ t the main reason to affects the informatization undulation. The speed of industrialization to affect informatization is faster than that of informatization to affect industrialization. The influence of industrialization to informatization is more stabler.