政府规模与公共服务水平关系研究——基于中国省际面板数据的分析

The Relationship between Government Size and Public Services:Evidence from Inter-provincial Panel Data of China

本文运用1997—2006年中国21个代表性省市相关数据,在Lynn MacDonald(2008)的模型基础上进一步拓展,引入其他一些决定模型的因素,运用固定效应GLS(Cross-Section Weight)计量方法考察政府规模与公共服务水平之间的关系。实证分析表明,政府规模与公共服务水平呈正相关关系,这与当前政府机构改革中"精简机构"的改革思路有所偏离,从而引发我们对政府机构改革中"精简机构"实质的重新思考与定位。

Giving further expansion and introducing a number of other inlportant factors on the basis of Lynn MacDonald （2008）, this paper empirical analyzes the relationship between size of government and public services via Fixed- Effect and GLS （ Cross- Section Weight） measurement with related data from 21 represented provinces of China during period of 1997 - 2006. Empirical analysis shows that there is a positive correlation between size of government and public services, which deviates from reform ideas of ＂streamlin- ing＂ in the current government reform, stirring us to rethink and orientate the substance of ＂streamlining＂ in order to push forward the reform of government agencies, even of political system.