中国出口、FDI与就业关系的区域差异分析——基于东部、中部和西部地区面板数据的检验

THE REGIONAL DIFFERENCE OF THE EFFECT OF EXPORT AND FDI ON EMPLOYMENT IN CHINA——BASED ON PANEL DATA OF EASTERN, MIDDLE AND WESTERN DISTRICT

文章利用中国28个省份1985—2004年的面板数据,考察了出口和外商直接投资对中国就业的影响,以及这种影响在各个地区之间的差异。实证结果显示,出口和外商直接投资对国内就业都具有显著的正向影响,并且出口和外商直接投资的就业弹性都呈现出从东部往西部递增的趋势。长期以来中国处于国际收支双顺差的失衡状态,因此不能依靠进一步扩大出口和外商直接投资的规模来带动就业,而应该通过优化出口和外商直接投资的结构来达到这一目的。

This paper uses panel data in 28 provinces from 1985 to 2004 to study the effect of export, FDI on employment. The results is that export and FDI have a positive effect on employment in China, and the employment elasticity of export and FDI show a increasing tendency from the eastern district to the western district. But we can＇t improve the employment by increasing the export and FDI further. We must achieve this goal by adjusting the structure of export and FDI.