上海虹桥综合交通枢纽灾害链及其在灾害评估中的应用

Study on Disasters Chains of Shanghai Hongqiao Integrated Transport Project and Its Application to Disaster Assessment

灾害的发生发展呈现链式有序的传承效应(灾害链),为灾害的预防和控制带来了不小的困难。上海虹桥综合交通枢纽工程集多种换乘方式于一体,一旦发生灾害,势必造成连锁反应,造成巨大损失,必须对其进行防灾治灾研究。应用灾害链思想结合模糊综合评判法的思路,提出了灾害链定量分析方法并对虹桥枢纽灾害等级进行了评估。

The occurrence and development of disaster show an orderly structure of disaster chain on transmission, which results in a lot of difficuhies to prevent and control the disasters. Because the Shanghai Hongqiao Integrated Transport Project is a multifunctional transport center, in case of a disaster, it would cause a chain reaction and bring great losses. So, the research on disaster prevention is necessary. Using an idea of the disaster chain combined with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, a new method of disaster chain quantitative analysis is put forward, and the assessment of disaster levels on the Shanghai Hongqiao Integrated Transport Project is conducted according to the new method.