基于核心-边缘理论的中国汽车产业发展研究

Research on the Development of China Auto Industry Based on the Core-Periphery Theory

将核心-边缘理论具体运用于汽车产业,通过系统动力分析和美、日汽车产业核心的实例,具体阐述了核心-边缘模式自发形成和自我维持的过程。同时使用位序-规模回归和聚类分析,定量测算我国汽车产业的聚集度,界定出上海、吉林为我国汽车产业的两大核心,而"上海嘉定国际汽车城"为我国唯一已经初步形成核心-边缘模式雏形的汽车产业核心,将其与世界其他国家汽车产业核心比较,对其发展提出建议。

The paper applies the core - periphery theory into the auto industry and uses U.S. and Japan auto industrial basis as examples to illustrate the self - formation and self - maintenance of this ＂Core - Periphery＂ distri- bution under the effects of ＂polarization＂ and ＂diffusion＂. It tries to build the ＂ Core - Periphery＂ model for Chi- na Auto Industry, learning from the experience of U. S. and Japan. By using Primacy Index Analysis and Cluster Analysis, Shanghai and Jilin are defined as the two auto industrial cores in China, while Shanghai auto industrial base - ＂Shanghai International Auto City＂ is the only one which has already formed ＂ Core - Periphery＂ model. Comparing with other cores in the world, suggestions are finally made on its construction.