基于径向基神经网络的人民币汇率预测

Forecasting RMB Exchange Rate based on RBF Neural Network

准确预测汇率对经济发展的各方面都有着重要影响。首先说明了径向基神经网络运作的基本原理,探讨了径向基神经网络汇率预测的重要步骤。接着利用径向基神经网络的数值逼近与记忆功能,根据汇率历史观测数值,对人民币的汇率的行为进行预测。实验结果表明,将径向基神经网络用于人民币的预测是可行的和有效的。

Forcasting the eachange rate actually exerts the important influences on all aspects of the Economy development At the beginning, this paper first introduces the basic principles that Radial Basis Function Neural Network functions, then discusses the steps of forecasting the exchange rate. Secondly, with the ability of numeric approaching and memory, we can make use of the RBF Neural Network to forecast the RMB exchange rate according to the historic data . The practical methods indicate that it is feasible and effective to forcast RMB Exchange Rate Based on RBF Neural Network.