基于MATLAB的AR及BP模型在矿井涌水量预测中的应用与比较

Application and Comparison of AR and BP Model to Forecast Water Yield of Coal Mine Based on Matlab

利用MATLAB提供的强大的科学运算能力以及相关工具箱,建立时间序列AR模型及人工神经网络BP模型,对煤矿的涌水量进行预测,结果显示两种建模方法对矿井涌水量都有好的模拟及预测效果。

The time series model（AR） and nerval network model（BP） are used to simulate and forecast the water yield of coal mine. The result showed that the effects of the both models are very well.