石油企业海外开发策略——反馈纳什均衡解法的应用

The Strategy of Overseas Developing on the Oil Enterprise——The Application of Feedback Nash Equilibrium Solution

微分博弈是博弈论中最复杂而又甚有实用价值的分支。由于经济系统处于时时的动态之中,很多经济行为或状态变量在时间上无法割裂。由于前一刻的最优决策在下一刻可能不再为最优,甚至是最劣的,决策者需要在每时每刻根据环境的转变而制定相应的对策。因此,引入微分博弈研究相关动态经济问题具有更大的实用价值。在研究微分博弈的反馈纳什均衡解法的基础上,联系中国石油企业海外开发的实际情况,通过建立一个石油跨国开采微分博弈模型,分析并得出跨国石油开采的最优策略轨迹,为中国石油企业的跨国经营提供了建设性的策略。

This article researches the feedback Nash equilibrium solution of differential game. It considers the situation of China oil enterprise overseas development,through establishing a differential game model of international oil mining,analyzes and obtains the optimal strategy path of international oil mining. It has provided the constructive strategy for the overseas operations of China oil enterprise.