博弈视角的人民币汇率合理性统计研究

A Statistic Study of the Rationality Assessment of RMB Exchange Rate from the Gaming Perspective

人民币汇率问题目前备受各界的关注,人民币汇率的合理性评价也是一个急需解决的问题。为此,应构建人民币博弈均衡汇率测算模型,完成博弈均衡汇率的测算和人民币汇率合理性的统计评价。统计评价结果表明,目前的人民币汇率仍显示低估,但已向合理水平趋近。

Currently the exchange rate of RMB is the focus of attention for most people. It is urgent to conduct a rational assessment of the exchange rate. This paper constructs the measuring model of the gaming equilibrium exchange rate for RMB in order to calculate the gaming equilibrium exchange rate and rational statistical assessment of RMB＇s exchange rate. The conclusion is that although still underestimated, the exchange rate of RMB is nearing the reasonable level.