政府信用的影响因素与管理机制研究

Influencing Factors and Management Mechanism of Government Credit

政府信用在社会信用体系中处于核心地位。以世界银行全球政府治理研究数据库(2005年案例)和国家统计局的数据资料为基础,对正式制度、公共信息、经济利益及文化环境四个关键因素与政府信用之间关系进行分析的研究结果表明,正式制度和公共信息对政府信用具有统计显著性的影响。一个国家的法治化程度每提升1个单位,政府信用即提升0.534个单位;信息透明度每提升1个单位,政府信用即提升0.443个单位。而经济利益和文化环境两个因素对政府信用不具有统计显著性的影响。因此,可采取以下具体对策完善我国的政府信用管理机制,包括加强正式制度建设,完善政府信息公开制度,健全政府及其官员的利益激励机制,加强信用文化建设。

Government credit is the core of the social credit system. In order to raise the level of government credit, it is necessary to investigate into its influencing factors. Based on data obtained from the Worldwide Governance Research Indicators Dataset of World Bank（2005 Case） and the National Bureau of Statistics of China, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between government credit and such relevant factors as formal institution, information, interest, and culture by using the methods of one-dimensional linear regression and multiple stepwise regression. The results of the regression analysis reveal that formal institution and information are statistically significant for government credit, as rule of law increases by 1 % , government credit increases by 0. 534%; as transparency of information increases by 1%, government credit increases by 0. 443 %; while interest and culture are not statistically significant for government credit. Based on the findings, several conclusions as well as specific recommendations are made in order to consummate the management mechanism of government credit, including promoting the construction of formal institutions, making improvements on the open system of government information, perfecting the interest incentive mechanism, and cultivating a credit culture.