要素空间优化、宏观经济增长与物价稳定

Factor Spatial Optimization,Macro-economic Growth and Price Stabilization

确保经济长期平稳增长和物价持续稳定往往是传统财政政策和货币政策难以兼顾的预期目标。经济事实,尤其是最近一年"过山车"式的国内外经济形势告诉人们,高通货膨胀压力与高经济增长、通货紧缩威胁与经济衰落总是如影随形。经济一旦衰落就很难恢复,高通胀预期一旦形成,就很难使其下降。由此形成了系列"两难"困境,并使宏观调控趋于无效或低效。为摆脱这种困境,文章从空间视角下提出空间优化理论。研究发现,在空间优化理论指导下,运用空间优化政策能解决这种"两难"问题。这将为宏观调控在运用财政政策和货币政策解决实际经济问题时,提供了崭新的政策选择。

To ensure long-term smooth economic growth and stable price level is an expected goal which is hardly achieved simultaneously by traditional fiscal policy and monetary policy. Economic facts, especially the rollercoaster-type economic situation at home and abroad in the last year, tell us that high inflation pressure always coexists with rapid economic growth while deflation threat usually accompanies economic decline. Once economy declines, it is very difficult to recover; once higher inflation expectation emerges, it is also very difficult to eliminate. Thus a predicament of smooth economic growth and stable price level is formed. It makes macro-control void or less effective. In order to help the government out of the predicament, the paper raises spatial optimization theory from a spatial angle. The study finds that spatial optimization policy can be carried out to ensure smooth economic growth and stable price level under the guidance of spatial optimization theory. So it provides a new policy choice when the government takes fiscal policy and monetary policy to solve real economic issues.