摘要
世界油气供需具有地区分布不平衡的特点,表现在OECD国家需求大于供给,转型国家和发展中国家供给大于需求等三个方面。油价对世界油气需求抑制效应和供给推动效应的非均衡性是导致油气供需结构不平衡的重要因素。发达国家之间、发达国家与发展中国家以及发展中国家之间围绕石油天然气的博弈依旧存在,油气依然是国际政治经济冲突的诱发因素,油价预测难度加大。
Based on the regional production and consumption, the analyses show that the world's petroleum demand and supply is unbalanced. The petroleum demand of OECD is bigger than its own supply; the petroleum supply in restructuring and developing countries is bigger than their own demand. Oil price played an important role in unbalanced restraining demand and pushing supply. The unbalanced effect of petroleum demand and supply will make the international petroleum situation complicated, which will represent in the following aspects: the disputes among developed and developing countries will still exist; petroleum will be a factor leading international disputes; the price forecast will be more difficult than before; China will be an important petroleum consumption force.
出处
《化学工业》
CAS
2009年第1期14-17,30,共5页
Chemical Industry
关键词
石油
石油气
生产能力
需求
国际贸易
国际市场
市场需求分析
petroleum
petroleum gas
production capacity
demand
international trade
international market
market demand analysis