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油气供需结构对国际石油经济形势影响分析 被引量:1

Analyses on the Impact Caused by World Unbalanced Petroleum Demand and Supply on International Petroleum Situation
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摘要 世界油气供需具有地区分布不平衡的特点,表现在OECD国家需求大于供给,转型国家和发展中国家供给大于需求等三个方面。油价对世界油气需求抑制效应和供给推动效应的非均衡性是导致油气供需结构不平衡的重要因素。发达国家之间、发达国家与发展中国家以及发展中国家之间围绕石油天然气的博弈依旧存在,油气依然是国际政治经济冲突的诱发因素,油价预测难度加大。 Based on the regional production and consumption, the analyses show that the world's petroleum demand and supply is unbalanced. The petroleum demand of OECD is bigger than its own supply; the petroleum supply in restructuring and developing countries is bigger than their own demand. Oil price played an important role in unbalanced restraining demand and pushing supply. The unbalanced effect of petroleum demand and supply will make the international petroleum situation complicated, which will represent in the following aspects: the disputes among developed and developing countries will still exist; petroleum will be a factor leading international disputes; the price forecast will be more difficult than before; China will be an important petroleum consumption force.
作者 罗佐县
出处 《化学工业》 CAS 2009年第1期14-17,30,共5页 Chemical Industry
关键词 石油 石油气 生产能力 需求 国际贸易 国际市场 市场需求分析 petroleum petroleum gas production capacity demand international trade international market market demand analysis
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