冰与火的煎熬——中国客车2008年市场分析及2009年展望

Analysis of the Chinese Bus & Coach Market in 2008 and Outlook of 2009

在金融危机的影响下,全球经济都受到了打击,希望客车市场能够置身事外是不现实的,预计2009年客车总销量将在2008年的基础上有所下降,降幅在5%15%之间,全年销量将回到2006年的水平线上。总的来看,利好因素偏向降低成本,而不利因素则主要表现在拟制需求,因此,销量下滑在所难免。

As global economy is shadowed by the fi nancial crisis, it’s not realistic for the Chinese passenger vehicle market to be free from the impact. It’s predicated that the total sales volume of passenger vehicle in 2009 will be smaller than that in 2008 with a drop of about 5%-15% and the total sales volume of the year will retreat to the level in 2006. Generally speaking, a favorable factor is the cost reduction and a negative factor is demand contraction. Therefore, it’s inevitable to see sales volume drop.