摘要
在考察我国电信固定资产投资波动特征基础上,对1979—2007年间电信固定资产投资波动与电信消费波动进行了协整检验,并运用有限分布滞后模型分析了两者的动态关联性。研究表明,电信固定资产投资波动与电信消费波动之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,且固定资产投资波动性根本上是由电信消费波动引致的,但同时也与投融资体制和电信产业政策紧密相关。
Based on measure volatility of telecommunications investment in fixed assets, according to the statistical data of telecommunications investment in fixed assets and telecom consumption from 1979 to 2007, this paper analyzes the relativity of telecommunications investment in fixed assets and telecom consumption by using method such as cointegration test and Finite Distributed Lag （FDL） Model. Results show that there is stable equilibrium between telecommunications investment in fixed assets and telecom consumption. Volatility of telecommunications investment in fixed assets is caused by volatility of telecom consumption foundationally, and related with investment and financing system, and government policies as well.
出处
《西安邮电学院学报》
2009年第2期32-35,42,共5页
Journal of Xi'an Institute of Posts and Telecommunications
关键词
电信固定资产投资
波动性
电信消费
协整检验
有限分布滞后模型
telecommunications investment in fixed assets
volatility
telecom consumption
cointegration test
Finite Distributed Lag （FDL） Model
