摘要
房地产是周期性波动发展的,巨大外部冲击将使房地产周期变得不"规范"。本文运用房地产周期理论,近期的有关数据,结合房地产影响因素的分析,指出,由于全球金融危机充满不确定性,房地产市场存在多方博弈。2009年及未来一段时间房地产市场最有可能的发展趋势是:衰退加快,复苏提前。本文最后提出调控房地产的政策建议。
Real estate development is periodically fluctuated, and the great external impacts make the real estate periodicity informal. By analyzing factors that affect real estate periodicity, this paper claims that the decline will be fast, the recovery will shift to an earlier date in real estate periodic development next, because the global financial crisis is uncertain and there are multi-player games in the real estate market. Finally, the regulation and control measures to the real estate market are given.
出处
《现代城市研究》
北大核心
2009年第3期21-28,共8页
Modern Urban Research
关键词
房地产
金融危机
预测
real estate
financial crisis
predict
