防空导弹系统可靠性对射击效率影响的评估

Evaluation of Effect of Air-defense Missile System Credibility on Fire Efficiency

为评估防空导弹系统可靠性对射击效率的影响,将典型防空导弹系统处理成三级串并联系统,推证了导弹通道可靠性指标——发射准备程度和战斗准备程度等评估模型,提出了导弹通道故障时射击决策的优化方法,根据系统及导弹通道可靠性特点,建立了基于可靠性的射击效率评估模型.通过实例计算,得到了3个导弹通道配置6枚导弹、准备发射3枚导弹的概率及射击效率.研究表明,可靠性对射击效率的影响具有系统性、非线性和复杂性等特点.

In order to evaluate the effect of air-defense missile system credibility on fire efficiency, regarding typical air-defense missile system as three-echelon series-parallel connection configuration, the evaluation models of missile channels credibility indexes including fire and combat preparative extent index were deduced. The optimization method of fire decision with missile channels under bad conditions was put forward. According to the characteristics of system and missile channels credibility, the fire efficiency evaluation model based on credibility was established. The probability and fire efficiency of launching three missiles while three missile channels equipped with six missiles were given by means of instance calculation. The results indicate that the characteristic of the effect of credibility on fire efficiency is systematic, non-linear and complex.