摘要
利用1985—2005年数据,运用协整理论实证研究了我国自主创新的投入产出问题.实证结果表明,我国科技资源投入和自主创新产出之间存在长期均衡关系.短期内,科技资源投入变化对于自主创新产出变化不具有当期影响,资金投入波动对于自主创新产出变化存在正影响并具有2期滞后,劳动投入波动对于自主创新产出变化没有影响.科技资金投入是影响我国自主创新产出的重要决定因素,科研人力资源投入未对自主创新产出发挥应有的作用.分析了形成这种状况的原因并提出政策建议.
Based on the data from 1985 to 2005, it makes research on the relationship between input and output of independent innovation in China applying the co-integration theory. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between inputs of technology resources and outputs of independent innovation. In short-term, changes in the invested technology resources have no any impact on current output of independent innovation. Volatility of invested capital has a positive relationship with two-period lagged independent innovation. Changes in labor input have no effect on independent innovation. Capital investment is a key factor affecting the outputs of China's independent innovation, but not human resources. Finally, it analyzes the reasons for this situation and puts forward some policy proposals.
出处
《研究与发展管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第1期18-23,共6页
R&D Management
基金
国家自然科学基金国际合作资助项目(70310107045)
关键词
自主创新
投入产出
协整
因果关系
independent innovation
input and output
co-integration
causality test