摘要
本文概述了电气化铁路在国民经济中的作用及优势、发展历程及未来走势等,并基于对全国1995～2007年电气化铁路的用电量数据的分析,运用时间序列分析法对全国电气化铁路行业用电进行了预测。同时还分析了张家口重点用户大秦铁路的运煤量现状,以此为主要依据预测了张家口电气化铁路用电量。
The article outlines roles and advantages of electric railway taken in national economy, development process and future trend. Based on analysis of power consumption of electric railway in 1995-2007, it forecasts power used by electric railway sector, according to the time series analytic method. Takes such a key user in Zhangjiakou as the Daqin railway to transport coal as an example, it analyzes present situation, taking this as the main basis to forecasts electricity consumption of Zhangjiakou electric railway.
出处
《中国能源》
2009年第3期43-46,共4页
Energy of China
关键词
电气化铁路
牵引负荷
用电结构
电力需求预测
electric railway
traction load
electrical construction
electric power demand forecast
