论以色列核政策与核战略的特点和影响被引量：1

On the Feature and Influence of Israeli Nuclear Policy and Strategy

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摘要以色列核政策与核战略的演变可分为3个阶段。当前其主要特点是发展"三位一体"的核力量结构,加强核武器的威慑力和实战能力;采取"核模糊"政策,既谋求核威慑,也规避"国际合法性"的问题;全力防止中东其他国家拥有核武器。以色列核政策与核战略的主要影响包括:拥有核武器有助于以色列的军事安全,但加剧了中东紧张局势;对国际核不扩散体系产生严重负面效用,阻碍地区核不扩散机制的建立;可能促使以色列的阿拉伯和伊斯兰邻国发展核武器,增加了中东地区发生核冲突的可能性。 Israel formulated its nuclear policy and strategy in three stages.Now its strategy has following characters:improving its nuclear structure of trinity;strengthening function of nuclear weapons and power of nuclear deterrent,taking a nuclear equivocal attitude for avoiding query of international legitimacy,trying to prevent the neighboring Middle East countries to own nuclear capability.This nuclear strategy has made such influence on this region:Israel's capability of nuclear weapon de facto has brought intension into the Middle East;it has brought negative effect on world non-proliferation system and become an obstacle to establish regional non-proliferation system.Israel's nuclear stand may provoke ambition of Arab states to develop their nuclear capability and increase the possibility of nuclear conflict.

作者夏立平

机构地区同济大学法政学院副院长、教授

出处《西亚非洲》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第4期47-52,共6页 West Asia and Africa

关键词以色列核政策核战略核扩散

分类号 D815.2 [政治法律—国际关系] F431.362 [经济管理—产业经济]

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