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挤出还是挤入:外商直接投资对国内投资的效应 被引量:8

Effects of FDI on Domestic Investment of China Crowd Out or Crowd In?
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摘要 本文通过将FDI引入投资模型,进行FDI对我国国内投资挤入或挤出效应的回归分析,结果表明,从当期效应看,全国FDI对总投资增加具有显著性的影响,但地区差异明显,东部和中部的FDI对总投资有显著性的正影响,而西部FDI的增加,具有减少总投资的效应;从长期效应看,就全国整体而言,FDI对国内投资具有挤入效应,但并不显著,东部以及西部的外商直接投资对国内投资有挤出效应,但并没有拒绝对临界水平1的虚拟假设,因而FDI对国内投资的这种挤出效应并不显著,而对于中部,FDI对国内投资具有很强的挤入效应。最后,基于研究结果,提出了相关建议。 FDI may crowd in or crowd out domestic investment, This core of the paper is the development of a theoretical model for investment that includes a FDI variable and its estimation and testing for the effects of the FDI on domestic investment with panel data of China . The results indicate that there is obvious region differential effects of FDI on domestic investment.
作者 陈家涛
出处 《财经科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第4期110-116,共7页 Finance & Economics
关键词 外商直接投资 挤出挤入效应 国内投资 Crowd out Crowd in Domestic Investment FDI
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参考文献6

  • 1Borensztem, E., De Gergorio, J. and Lee, J. W. 1998. How does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth. Journal of International Economics, 45.
  • 2Bosworth, Barry P. and M. Collins. 1999. Capital flows to developing economies : implications forsaving and investment, Brookings Papers on EconomicActivity, vol.1.
  • 3Agesin, M. R. and Mayer R. 2000. Foreign Investment in Developing Countries : does it Crowd in Domestic Investment. UNCTAD Discussion Papers: 146.
  • 4王志鹏,李子奈.外商直接投资对国内投资挤入挤出效应的重新检验[J].统计研究,2004,21(7):37-43. 被引量:120
  • 5Rama, M. 1993. Empirical Investment Equations for Developing countries [ A], in Serven L and Solimano A (edit), Striving for Growth after Adjustment [C]. Washington, DC: World Bank.
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二级参考文献9

  • 1Agosin, Manuel B and Bicarclo Mayer, (2000), "Foreign Investment in Developing Countries: Does it Crowd in Domestic Investment?", UNCTAD Discussion Papers, No. 146, http:/rO. unctad. org/en/docs/dp_ 146. en. pdf.
  • 2Borensztein, E, J De Gregorio and J-W Lee, (1998), "How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth?", Journal of International Economics, Vol. 45, pp. 115 - 135.
  • 3Bosworth, Barry and Susan M. Collins, (1999),"Capital Flows to Development Economies: Implications for Saving and Investment", Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, Vol.1 ,pp.143 - 169.
  • 4Greene, (2000), William H. Econometric Analysis, 4th edition. New Jersey : Prentice Hall.
  • 5Rama, M. (1993), "Empirical Investment Equations for Developing Countries", in Serven L and Solimano A. (edit), Striving for Growth after Adjustment. Washington, DC : World Bank.
  • 6UNCTAD, ( 1999), World Investment Report 1999: Foreign Direct Investment and the Challenge of Development. New York and Geneva:United Nations.
  • 7杨柳勇,沈国良.外商直接投资对国内投资的挤入挤出效应分析[J].统计研究,2002,19(3):6-8. 被引量:160
  • 8赖明勇,包群.外商直接投资与国内投资的经济增长效应比较[J].投资研究,2002,21(5):19-23. 被引量:15
  • 9王志鹏,李子奈.外资对中国工业企业生产效率的影响研究[J].管理世界,2003,19(4):17-25. 被引量:163

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