经济增长回落与流动性过剩的两难困境求解

Solutions to the Paradox of Decline of Economic Growth and Surplus of Liquidity

现代经济增长理论揭示了产业结构演变和经济增长之间存在着内在联系。我国经济在经历了30年的高速增长后,目前面临着产业升级的临界点。这一特殊背景是解释我国当前面临的诸多宏观经济问题的一个关键,尤其是近年来困扰我国的经济增长乏力和流动性过剩两难并存的问题。根据发达国家经验,当经济增长面临回落、流动性问题开始显现,就预示着产业结构升级和工业化水平跃进的契机。因此,要解决目前我国经济增长乏力和流动性过剩的两难困境,就必须着力推动产业结构调整,积极促进第三产业发展。

According to the theory of economic growth, them is always an inherent connection between the change of industrial structure and economic growth. After experiencing the rapid economic growth for 30 years, China＇ s economy is now at the critical point of industrial upgrading. Only by clearly understanding this context can we explain many macroeconomic problems China is now facing, espeeially the paradox of decline of economic growth and surplus of liquidity in recent years. According to the experience of developed countries, the decline of economic growth and the emergence of problems with liquidity indicate a good opportunity for upgrading the industrial structure and speeding up the process of industrialization. Therefore, the solution to this paradox is to promote the adjustment of industrial structure and to accelerate the development of tertiary industries.