剔除通胀因素后中国人均消费支出的实证分析

The Empirical Analysis of China's per Capita Consumption Expenditure after Excluding the Inflation Factors

根据一般消费理论,收入和价格是决定消费两个主要因素。根据1980-2006年我国消费样本数据建立了我国消费模型,通过EVIEWS软件利用OLS方法进行参数估计,并对模型进行了检验。经过计量分析得知我国人均消费水平受GDP影响,且人均消费水平与人均CGDP呈明显线性关系。若我国人均GDP增长1%,则人均居民消费水平约增加0.71%。滞后的人均消费水平对我国当年的人均消费水平的影响是不显著的。

According to the theory of general consuraption,income and prices are two main determining factors in consummgo Establish China＇s consuming model based on the data of 1980-2006,by EVIEWS software through the use of OLS parameter estimation methods,and model Test~ China＇s per capita consumption is impacted by the per capita GDP,and the per capita consumption level per capita and the GDP showing a linear relationship after quantitative analysis. And if China＇s GDP grows 1% per capita,per capita consumption level will increase 0.71% .The impact of the lag capita consumption level to the uf China＇s per capita consumption level is not significant.