深圳市流感高峰发生的气象要素临界值研究及其预报方程的建立

Critical Range of Meteorological Factors Influence on the Influenza Peak in Shenzhen and the Establishment of Influenza Forecasting Equation

利用深圳市2003-2007年共5年的流感样病例资料和相关气象资料，探讨流行性感冒（简称流感）高峰与气象条件间的关系，对深圳市流感进行等级划分，分析了深圳市流感与气象要素的相关性，并探讨了两者间的超前滞后关系，最终得出深圳市流感受气温、相对湿度影响的临界值及其预报方程。

Based on the detailed data of influenza cases and meteorological factors from 2003 to 2007 in Shenzhen,the relationship of influenza with meteorological factors are analyzed. Gived the grade plot standard of Shenzhen ILI%, analysis the significant relationship between meteorological factors and ILIa4 ,in the last get the critical range of temperature and humidity influence on ILI% and the forecasting equation of ILI%.