组合赋权法在第三方物流合约风险评价中的应用(英文)

Application of combination weighting method in contract risk's evaluation of third party logistics

首先用以层次分析法为代表的主观赋权法和以熵值法为代表的客观赋权法,分别对第三方物流合约风险评价指标权重进行分析.然后运用组合赋权法将主、客观权重值结合起来确定指标组合权重,并用组合权重值对第三方物流合约风险进行模糊综合评价.根据组合赋权法的权重分析结果,第三方物流合约风险中最大风险因素为分包商的选择,基本符合实际情况.此结果表明组合赋权法确定的指标权重既可减少主观赋权法带来的人为偏差,又能防止客观赋权法易与指标实际相对重要程度相悖的现实.同时,三方物流合约风险水平较高的模糊综合评价结果也与现实状况大体相符,表明组合赋权法可使综合评价的结论更科学、合理.

First,the analytical hierarchy process(AHP),which stands for the subjective weighting method,and the entropy method,which stands for the objective weighting method,are chosen to calculate the index weights of the contract risks of third party logistics(TPL),respectively.Then,they can determine the combination weights using the combination weighting method.Second,using the combination weights,the contract risks of TPL are evaluated through the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.According to the combination weights,the most important risk factor of the contract risks of TPL is choosing sub-contractors.The results are basically consistent with the facts and show that the weights determined by the combination weighting method can avoid the man-made deviations of the subjective weighting method on the one hand,and prevent results opposite to the reality brought about by the objective weighting method on the other hand.Meanwhile,the results of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation are that the contract risks of TPL are at a high risk level.Roughly this matches real situations,and it indicates that the combination weighting method can generate the comprehensive assessment more scientifically and more reasonably as well.