包头市土右旗土地利用变化的动态监测与预测研究

The Dynamic Monitoring and Prediction of the Regional Land Use Change of Tumoteyouqi in Baotou City

本文以包头市土右旗为例,利用遥感调查方法结合 GIS 技术,定量分析研究区域内土地利用动态变化过程,以及土地利用各类型之间的相互转化状况。运用马尔柯夫原理,建立齐次马尔柯夫模型中的转移概率矩阵,对研究区未来土地利用演变趋势进行模拟与预测。

This paper takes the Tumoteyouqi in Baotou city as an example.The dynamic evolution process of land use and the transformation each other among all types of land use are analyzed quantitatively with the help of RS and GIS.The evolution tendency of land use in future is simulated and predicted with Markov model in the study area.