关于 Smeed 模型的适用性探讨

The Applicability Discussion of the Smeed Model

应用陕西省近年来交通事故资料，通过对Ｓｍｅｅｄ模型系数修正并进行有效性验证，认为该模型现阶段能很好地适用于中国进行交通事故预测。

By using recent year's accident records of Shanxi province, this paper modofies the coefficient of Smeed model and checks its efficienacy, and approves that the model can be well applied to accident forecasting in China.