结构串联系统可靠性的Bayes估计

Bayes estimation of the reliability of construction series system

利用Ｂａｙｅｓ方法讨论了当应力Ｘ～Ｎ，（μ，∑），强度Ｙ～Ｎ，（μ．∑）时，θ＝Ｐｒ｛Ｘ＜Ｙ｝的估计问题，并且同用经典方法而得到的θ的＂最小方差无偏估计＂（ＭＶＵＥ）进行了比较。

By using Bayes method, this paper discusses the estimation problem on the reliability θ= Pr {X<Y} of construction series system in the stress X￣Np (μ,∑) and the strength Y￣Np(μ, ∑). It compares the estimation result with MVUE.