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The Modified GM( 1 , 1) Grey Forecast Model

The Modified GM( 1 , 1) Grey Forecast Model
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摘要 Because the impacts of the factors such as some disturbances are graduallyadded into the system, the grey forecast results will deviate from the systemtrue value. To improve the forecast precision, Pro-Dens Julons provided twomethfor-But they had not consider the impact of artificial disturbance. LiZhihua et al. of Qinghua Univ. presented another method. This paper revisesthe method and make it be a spocial case. Because the impacts of the factors such as some disturbances are graduallyadded into the system, the grey forecast results will deviate from the systemtrue value. To improve the forecast precision, Pro-Dens Julons provided twomethfor-But they had not consider the impact of artificial disturbance. LiZhihua et al. of Qinghua Univ. presented another method. This paper revisesthe method and make it be a spocial case.
出处 《Journal of Modern Transportation》 1995年第2期157-162,共6页 现代交通学报(英文版)
关键词 grey forecast GM(1 1 ) model influential factor grey forecast, GM(1 , 1 ) model, influential factor
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