摘要
Let X(n) be a time series satisfying the following ARUMA(p, d, q) models:U (B) A (B)X (n)=C (B) W (n)where U(B)=1+u(1)B+…+u(d) B^d is a polynomial with all roots on the unit circle, A(B)=1+a(1)B+…+a(p)Bp is a polynomial with all roots outside the unit circle, C(B)=1+c(1) B+…+c(q)Bq is a polynomial which is relatively prime with the polynomial U(B)A(B), B is thebackshift operator such that BX(n)=X(n-1), and (W (n), F(n), n≥1) is a sequence of martingaledifferences satisfying the following conditions:lim E (W (n)~2|F(n-1))=σ~2 a.s.n→∞sup E |W(n)|γ<∞ for some γ>n≥1The purpose of this paper is to provide consistent estimates of the parameters p, d, q, u(j) (j=1,2,…,d), and a(k) (k=1, 2.…, p).
Let X(n) be a time series satisfying the following ARUMA(p, d, q) models:U (B) A (B)X (n)=C (B) W (n)where U(B)=1+u(1)B+…+u(d) B^d is a polynomial with all roots on the unit circle, A(B)=1+a(1)B+…+a(p)Bp is a polynomial with all roots outside the unit circle, C(B)=1+c(1) B+…+c(q)Bq is a polynomial which is relatively prime with the polynomial U(B)A(B), B is thebackshift operator such that BX(n)=X(n-1), and (W (n), F(n), n≥1) is a sequence of martingaledifferences satisfying the following conditions:lim E (W (n)~2|F(n-1))=σ~2 a.s.n→∞sup E |W(n)|γ<∞ for some γ>n≥1The purpose of this paper is to provide consistent estimates of the parameters p, d, q, u(j) (j=1,2,…,d), and a(k) (k=1, 2.…, p).
