摘要
本文分析了厄尼诺——副热带高压——“凉夏”、“烂冬”、“暖湿条件”——小麦赤霉病大流行之间的关系。结果表明,它们之间均存在较好的关系。所以认为厄尼诺现象的出现可作为长江流域小麦赤霉病大流行的前兆性指标。
There is a high fitting rate between the El Nir(?) and the great prevailence of the wheat scabin the areas along the ChangJiang River.The analysis in a chain of relationships among El Ni-n(?)—subtropical high pressure—cool summer,sodden winter and warm wet condition—great pre-vailence of the wheat scab have been made in this paper.It shows that there are close relationsamong these factors.So,the outbreak of El Nin(?) can be taken as the precursor index.