河南旅游业在中部地区的竞争力评价及发展预测

Evaluation and Prediction of Tourism Competitiveness of Henan Province in Central China

选用了5个子系统45个指标,用统计软件SPSS13.0分析了中部六省旅游业的综合竞争力,并对河南省未来旅游业收入和旅游人数进行了预测分析.结果显示,中部六省旅游综合竞争力的排序为:河南省>湖南省>湖北省>山西省>江西省>安徽省,且未来河南省旅游收入和旅游人数将大幅增长.最后,提出了旅游业持续发展的对策.

The paper chooses 5 subsystems including 45 indexes, analyzes the tourism comprehensive competitiveness of Henan in central China with statistical software SPSS13.0, and predicts tourism incomes and tourist number in the future. Results show that the order of tourism comprehensive competitiveness in central China is Henan province 〉Hunan province〉Hubei province〉Shanxi province〉Jiangxi province〉Anhui province and the tourism income and tourist number will increase in the future. Finally, the author puts forward some suggestions and countermeasures for sustainable development of tourism.