中国入境旅游与服务业发展关系的区域差异——基于东、中、西部面板数据的检验

Regional Difference in the Relationship of Inbound Tourism and Service Industry Development in China——Based on the Tests of Panel Data in China's Eastern,Middle and Western Regions

本文运用面板数据单位根检验、协整检验以及误差修正模型等现代计量经济学方法,对中国东部地区、中部地区和西部地区的入境旅游与服务业发展的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明,中国入境旅游与服务业发展的关系具有地区差异性。长期而言,东部地区入境旅游是服务业发展的原因,中,西部地区服务业发展是入境旅游的原因;短期而言,东,中部地区入境旅游是服务业发展的原因;中,西部地区服务业发展是入境旅游的原因。本文的最后还提出了相关的政策建议。

Based on modern econometric methods such as unit root tests, co-integration tests and error correction models for panel data, this paper makes an empirical research on the relationship between inbound tourism and service industry development in China＇s Eastern Region, Middle Region and Western Region. The results show that there is an obvious regional difference in the relationship between inbound tourism and service industry development. In a long term, the development of service industry in Eastern Region is due to its inbound tourism while the development of service industry is the cause for inbound tourism in Middle and Western regions. In a short term, the development of service industry in both Eastern and Middle regions is due to their inbound tourism while the development of service industry is the cause for inbound tourism in both Middle and Western regions. Finally, this paper puts forward the related policy suggestions.