基于江苏省基础研究计划结题验收项目的判别分析

A Discriminant Analysis of Completed Jiangsu Basic Research Programs

基于2003年—2004年江苏省基础研究计划研究现状的分析,我们结合江苏省基础研究计划的定位,针对其目前存在问题,应用SPSS13.0软件采用了8项核心相对指标变量进行聚类分析,将2003年—2004年江苏省基础研究计划结题验收的项目聚归为5类群体。结合聚类结果中各类的总特征和成果报告中行业专家鉴定,我们将这5类分别鉴定为科研成果领先型、人才培养领先型、科研培养领先型、科研培养先进型、科研培养一般型;并用SPSS13.0软件分析得出项目验收判别模型和配套的判别标准,对江苏省基础研究计划项目在后期结题时进行定性分析,给出项目验收评估的定性结果,指出已判定项目的领先与不足之处,从而实现模型的分析、评价与科研引导作用。

The completed Basic Research Program of Jiangsu Province during 2003-2004 are divided into five categories in terms of the eight core variables of SPSS13.0 on the basis of the status quo of such programs, especially the existing problems found in the studies, and the positioning of these programs by the provincial government. In consideration of the general features of the clustering results and overall reports given by experts, these programs are divided into those that lead technically, those that lead in cultivating researchers, those that lead in research potentiality, those that are advanced in research potentiality and those that are just so-so in research potentiality. In addition, a Diseriminant Model for the checking and acceptance of projects and a matching criterion are built so that qualitative results can be given when these programs are assessed and accepted via qualitative analysis, the strong points and the weaknesses of the programs can be pointed out and the role of models in analyzing, assessing and guiding research programs can be realized.