东北三省GDP关系实证研究

Empirical study on GDP relationship among three northeast provinces

GDP是反映一国或一个地区经济发展状况的综合统计指标,为了准确把握东北三省之间的内在经济联系、促进东北三省区域经济协调发展,必须对东北三省GDP关系进行深入研究。收集1978—2006年东北三省GDP数据,对相关经济数据进行格兰杰因果关系检验,得出东北三省经济具有相似性和互补性的结论。根据实证分析结果,提出东北三省应加强经济合作的政策建议。

GDP is a comprehensive statistic factor to reflect the development status of economy in a country or a region. In order to grasp the internal economic connection and promote the coordinated development of regional economy in the three northeast provinces, it is necessary to carry out thorough research into the relationship of GDPs among them. GDP data of the three provinces from 1978 to 2006 are collected and Granger Tests of Causality on the data are fulfilled, based on which conclusion is drawn that the econonmies of the three northeast provinces have similarity and are mutually complimentary. Policy suggestion is proposed that the three northeast provinces should strengthen their economic cooperation.