供应链系统中灰博弈的灰色动态规划模型

Grey dynamic programming model for grey game in perishable product′s supply chains

从系统工程和控制论的角度,把博弈论和灰色系统理论相结合,研究灰色市场需求下"公司+农户"模式的易腐品供应链系统的动态合作机制问题.首先建立易腐品供应系统中公司和农户的灰博弈矩阵,分析未来不确定性和随机波动等因素对博弈策略选择的影响,把灰博弈问题转化为灰色动态规划问题,通过进一步研究灰博弈的灰色动态规划模型,设计出公司和农户一次签约多次交易过程的动态合作机制和使易腐农产品供应链整体绩效达到最优的策略组合和措施.最后,通过实例论证了该模型的合理性和可行性.

Dynamic cooperate-mechanism of perishableproducts supply chain that consists of a company and a farmer under grey demand was researched. The grey-game matrix between a company and a farmer in perishable products system was set up. The grey-game issue is transfered to the grey dynamic programming issue by analyzing the impact of the future uncertain and stochastic fluctuating on selecting the game strategy. The dynamic cooperate-mechanism of the cooperating process , which company and farmer sign contract once but trade many times, the strategy-assemble and measures to realize the united optimization of perishable agricultural products supply chain system are designed by further studying the grey dynamic programming model of grey game. Finally, the rationality and the feasible of the model are demonstrated by an example.