中国改革三十年人口年龄结构变化与总消费关系研究

Studies on Relationship between Age Structure and Household Consumption in 30-year Chinese Economic Reform

不同年龄人口对于家庭户总消费的影响是不同的。基于生命周期与持久收入模型的理论假设,引入了主要储蓄人口比概念对人均家庭消费进行分析,并考虑了个体消费过程中存在短视行为。探讨人口因素对近三十年总家庭消费产生影响的方式与影响程度。

Population with different ages is shown to have different marginal effect on household consumption. This thesis based on the hypothesis of permanent income and life cycle theory, used the age structure index of prime saver ratio, and considered the myopic behaviors in the life-cycle consumption. At last, we discussed the way and the extent, by which age structure affected household consumption.