强震概率增长时段判定法在粤东及邻区的应用

THE APPLICATION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKE TIME OF INCREASED PROBABILITY METHOD TO THE EAST PART OF GUANGDONG PROVINCE AND ITS NEIGHBOURING DISTRICTS

将强震概率增长时段判定法（ＴＩＰ－Ｍ８）应用于粤、闽、赣交界及近海地区，资料从１９８５至１９９５年底。绝大多数地震流函数异常显示，从１９９５年底起３年内该区将发生５５级左右地震。１９９７年５月３１日发生的福建永安５２级地震与此判断相符。

Applied the Time of Increased Probability Method(TIP_M8) to the juncture area of three province (Guangdong,Jiangxi and Fujian Province) and near sea region.The catalogue is from 1985～1995.The anomaly of most earthquike fluid functions indicated that an earthquake(about M 5 5) would occur in three years from 1995.It was proved by the M S 5 2 earthquake occurred in Yongan,Fujian on May 31th of 1997.