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基于BP神经网络的我国外汇储备规模预测

Application on Foreign Exchange Reserves' Forecast by BP Network in China
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摘要 本文基于MATLAB6.5平台编程,运用非线性BP神经网络对我国外汇储备规模进行预测分析。以我国历年外汇储备数据为训练样本,进行网络训练与检验。结果表明,BP神经网络具有良好的预测性能。同时发现了我国外汇储备存在超常规增长,并在文章最后提出了相关的政策和建议。 Based on MATLAB6.5 programming, BP neural network of foreign exchange reserves forecast in China was construtted. According to former foreign exchange reserves data which were taken as training data are normalized, the networks respectively using non-normalized training data and normalized were trained and verified, the results shown BP network whose training data was normalized has better forecast capability. The speed of China's foreign exchange reserves growth was very high.
作者 段利民 滕昕
出处 《未来与发展》 CSSCI 2009年第3期45-48,共4页 Future and Development
关键词 外汇储备 BP神经网络 预测 foreign exchange reserves BP neural network forecast
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