论侦查实践中的合情推理

On Plausible Reasoning of Investigation Practice

合情推理是将知识或经验概括简约化的过程,涉及知识增殖、评价能力和职业经历。合情推理模式是或然性的,通过寻找证据、特征扩展与归宿选择等方法,确定解释多样性与合理性。事物层次具有多样性,建构合情推理,需对该体系进行横向和纵向比较,找出相互间的异同,在时间过程、空间变换和人物层次之间进行综合考量,形成一个较完整的关于犯罪的性质、动机、过程、手段、嫌疑人特征的合情推理体系。

Plausible reasoning, which involves knowledge multiplication, capability of evaluation and working experience, is a process of the generalization of knowledge or experience. It determines the variety and reasonableness of explanatation by ways of evidence seeking, characteristics expanding and destination choosing. Its reasoning mode is probable in nature. Things are varied in different levels, so the construction of plausible reasoning needs horizontal and vertical comparison so as to find their similarities and differences. The system of plausible reasoning concerning the character, motivation, process, and means of crime and the characteristic of suspect is established in the course of consideration among time, space change and the varied levels of characters.