通货膨胀先行指标和预测方法的国际比较

An International Comparison on Inflation Antecedent Indicators and Forecasting Methods

通货膨胀的准确预测是中央银行货币政策有效实施的一个基础,本文主要研究了先行指标方法在通货膨胀预测中的应用。本文首先研究了几种主要的通货膨胀预测模型,然后对通货膨胀预测模型在部分国家和地区央行的应用进行了比较。

Accurate forecasting for inflation is the key to attain the objectives of the central bank monetary policy.This paper discusses ways to forecast inflation in terms of antecedent indicators.We first investigate several models for inflation forecasting,then compare the model applications in various countries and regions.