牡丹的花期预测研究

Study on the Forecast of Paeonia suffruticosa Florescence

依据物候学的顺序相关规律,采用回归分析的方法,利用牡丹(Paeonia suffruticosa)花期前的物候现象,建立花期的预报模型,预报牡丹始花日期,通过检验,预报效果良好。牡丹花期预报模型的建立,为相关景区的管理工作,以及游人的赏花活动提供了方便。

In this paper, a model of flowering forecasting on Paeonia suffruticosa is established, which based on the law of sequence-dependent on phenological phenomenon and the method of regression analysis. By checking with data, the model yields good results in forecasting first flowering dates of Paeonia suffruticosa. The model of flowering forecasting on Paeonia suffruticosa will provide convenience for gardener and visitor.