我国登陆台风年活动强度预报的探讨

RESEARCH ON THE FORECAST OF ANNUAL ACTIVE INTENSITY OF LANDING TYPHOON OF CHINA

根据台风自身的活动规律（时间序列），利用逐步回归周期预报来研究台风的年活动强度，其结果是比较理想的。

According to a the law of typhoon activity, this paper researches annual active intensity of typhoon by means of period forecast with stepwise regression, and result is comparatively ideal. Hence it is a efficient way for long term and over long term typhoon forecast.