摘要
利用中国地震局陆远忠等研发的Mapsis软件系统及其数据库,计算出南北地震带1500年以来6级以上地震释放的能量。并以1年为尺度,根据地震能量释放原理,计算出508年时间段的地震能量,认为在该时间段内地震能量的释放具有较好的规律性,对南北地震带7级以上地震的中期预测具有较好的效果。
According to the Mapsis software system and database made by LU Yuan - zhong et al. in CEA, the energy of Ms ≥16.0 earthquakes is calculated. As 1 year scale, and on the basis of the seismic energy theory, the earthquake energy in 508 years is also calculated and the results show that it has good regulation in some periods, and this has a good effect for medium -term forecast of Ms ≥7. 0 earthquakes in North -South Seismic Belt.
出处
《高原地震》
2008年第4期14-20,共7页
Plateau Earthquake Research
基金
甘肃省地震局青年基金(2009253)
青海省地震局地震科学基金(2007A01)
关键词
地震能量
南北地震带
7级地震
中期地震预测
Earthquake energy
North - South Seismic Belt
Ms ≥ 7.0 earthquakes
Medium - term earthquake forecast
