武器装备平均修复时间的模糊预计

Fuzzy Prediction on Mean-time-to-repair of Weapon Systems

武器装备平均修复时间（mean-time-to-repair,MTTR）预计是武器装备科研和维修工作的一项重要内容。在信息极少的情况下,建立影响平均修复时间的因素集及各因素的评分标准;应用模糊聚类及相关方法建立模型,对装备维修平均修复时间进行模糊预计;最后通过实例说明该方法的有效性。

Mean-time-to-repair（MTTR） prediction is one of the most important work among the research and maintenance work of weapon systems. Not only the factors which affect the MTTR but also the standards of evaluation is founded when the information is little. A model founded by Fuzzy theory is used to predict MTTR of weapon systems. Finally examples show the effectiveness of this method.